B6 435 · STT → SJU

departs 3:38 PM AST · arrives 4:20 PM AT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ STT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

STT (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.47 in

SJU (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 435 · STT → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?