Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 577 LANDED 8:53 AM PT, ~3 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

B6 577 · FLL → SFO

took off 6:39 AM ET · landed 8:53 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

↑ SFO is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

SFO (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 577 · FLL → SFO

Odds over time