DL 1004 · ABQ → ATL

took off 11:33 AM MT · landed 4:02 PM ET (scheduled 11:20 AM MT → 4:30 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ATL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ABQ that day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

↓ This flight has been late 11% of the time recently

Weather at each end

ABQ (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.15 in

ATL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1004 · ABQ → ATL

Odds over time

How late did it get to ATL?