DL 1004 · ATL → ABQ

took off 9:20 AM ET · landed 10:10 AM MT (scheduled 9:05 AM ET → 10:12 AM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ABQ?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ABQ that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Arrivals into ABQ at that hour are usually not late

↓ This flight has been late 9% of the time recently

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

ABQ (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.32 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1004 · ATL → ABQ

Odds over time

How late did it get to ABQ?