DL 1034 · ATL → JFK

took off 9:37 AM ET · expected to land 11:23 AM ET (scheduled 9:44 AM ET → 12:00 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to JFK?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ 9am departures from ATL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1034 · ATL → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?