Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1061 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, September 30

DL 1061 · FAI → SEA

took off 3:07 PM AKT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 2:37 PM AKT → 7:27 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SEA that day

↓ 2pm departures from FAI are usually not late

Weather at each end

FAI (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1061 · FAI → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?