Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1084
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
DL 1084 · ORD → DTW
departs 7:17 PM CT · arrives 9:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 64%
Fri 10/2 31%
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
65%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
65%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 64% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.95 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.