Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1206 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, September 30

DL 1206 · MKE → ATL

took off 7:06 PM CT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 5:42 PM CT → 9:04 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from MKE are often late

↓ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

Weather at each end

MKE (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.42 in

ATL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1206 · MKE → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?