DL 1252 · SAN → SLC

departs 7:17 PM PT · arrives 10:19 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from SAN are often late

↑ Arrivals into SLC at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SAN that day

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1252 · SAN → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?