Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1262
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
DL 1262 · ATL → DTW
departs 7:11 PM ET · arrives 9:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 23%
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±2 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.5 mi
Precip none
DTW (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.