DL 127 · MAD → JFK

departs 3:32 PM CEST · arrives 5:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

Weather at each end

MAD (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

JFK (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 127 · MAD → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?