DL 1292 · ILM → ATL

departs 6:48 PM ET · arrives 8:35 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ILM (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility2.5 mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1292 · ILM → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?