DL 1418 · DTW → ROC

departs 9:37 PM ET · arrives 10:55 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ROC?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↑ 9pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.04 in

ROC (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1418 · DTW → ROC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ROC?