DL 1446 · ORD → SLC

departs 2:09 PM CT · arrives 4:26 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 2pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.53 in

SLC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1446 · ORD → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?