DL 145 · AMS → SEA

departs 3:12 PM CEST · arrives 4:02 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at AMS

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AMS (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 145 · AMS → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?