DL 1676 · ATL → SAT

took off 8:34 AM ET · expected to land 9:27 AM CT (scheduled 8:20 AM ET → 9:43 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAT?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAT

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ SAT is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1676 · ATL → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?