DL 1720 · ATL → TPA

took off 2:11 PM ET · landed 3:15 PM ET (scheduled 2:02 PM ET → 3:35 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TPA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ 2pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1720 · ATL → TPA

Odds over time

How late did it get to TPA?