Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1733
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
DL 1733 · ATL → MCO
departs 9:25 PM ET · arrives 11:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 30%
Fri 10/2 35%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
9pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 0.5 mi
Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.