DL 1743 · TYS → ATL

took off 12:30 PM ET · expected to land 12:59 PM ET (scheduled 11:57 AM ET → 12:59 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

LIVE

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1743 · TYS → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?