DL 1928 · MBJ → ATL

departs 1:16 PM EST · arrives 5:12 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MBJ

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

MBJ (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

ATL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1928 · MBJ → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?