DL 1969 · STI → JFK

departs 7:32 PM AST · arrives 11:18 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at STI

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

Weather at each end

STI (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

JFK (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1969 · STI → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?