DL 2057 · SFO → DTW

departs 11:48 AM PT · arrives 7:24 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from SFO are often late

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2057 · SFO → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?