DL 2071 · ATL → MEM

took off 9:09 AM ET · landed 9:03 AM CT (scheduled 9:10 AM ET → 9:27 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MEM?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM

↓ Arrivals into MEM at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

MEM (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2071 · ATL → MEM

Odds over time

How late did it get to MEM?