DL 2168 · ATL → EYW

departs 3:25 PM ET · arrives 5:23 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EYW?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 3.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at EYW that day

↑ 3pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

EYW (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility1 mi Precip3.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2168 · ATL → EYW

Odds over time

How late will it get to EYW?