DL 2256 · SEA → MCI

departs 5:30 PM PT · arrives 11:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 0.5 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling5,167 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.46 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2256 · SEA → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?