DL 2440 · JAX → ATL

departs 6:55 PM ET · arrives 8:17 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from JAX are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 8% of the time recently

Weather at each end

JAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2440 · JAX → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?