Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2459
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
DL 2459 · PDX → LAX
departs 8:30 PM PT · arrives 11:00 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 26%
Fri 10/2 14%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
46%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +29 pts in 24h
+29 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PDX (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.