DL 2474 · RIC → RSW

took off 10:06 AM ET · landed 11:58 AM ET (scheduled 9:47 AM ET → 12:03 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RSW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ RIC is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into RSW at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

↓ 9am departures from RIC are usually not late

Weather at each end

RIC (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2474 · RIC → RSW

Odds over time

How late did it get to RSW?