DL 2613 · SAN → SEA

departs 7:00 PM PT · arrives 10:03 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from SAN are often late

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2613 · SAN → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?