Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2634 LANDED 11:02 AM ET, ~11 MIN EARLY

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

DL 2634 · RDU → ATL

took off 10:10 AM ET · landed 11:02 AM ET (scheduled 9:58 AM ET → 11:22 AM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ATL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ This flight has been late 7% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility4 mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2634 · RDU → ATL

Odds over time

How late did it get to ATL?