DL 2648 · DTW → BOS

departs 10:05 AM ET · arrives 12:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↑ 10am departures from DTW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2648 · DTW → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?