DL 2689 · SLC → AUS

departs 1:19 PM MT · arrives 5:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2689 · SLC → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?