Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2715 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, September 30

DL 2715 · DTW → BWI

took off 8:13 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 9:45 PM ET → 11:18 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±2 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.04 in

BWI (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2715 · DTW → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?