DL 280 · PVG → SEA

departs 5:50 PM CST · arrives 1:09 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PVG

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

Weather at each end

PVG (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

SEA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 280 · PVG → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?