DL 2816 · ORD → BOS

took off 4:17 PM CT · expected to land 7:12 PM ET (scheduled 3:19 PM CT → 6:59 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

76% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

LIVE

On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
55%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 3pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.30 in

BOS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2816 · ORD → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?