DL 2884 · IAD → DTW

departs 11:10 AM ET · arrives 12:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ 11am departures from IAD are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,714 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2884 · IAD → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?