DL 2887 · BOS → MCO

departs 3:27 PM ET · arrives 6:54 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2887 · BOS → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?