DL 2984 · ATL → ORF

departs 7:54 PM ET · arrives 9:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORF?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

ORF (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2984 · ATL → ORF

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORF?