DL 3059 · ATL → AVL

took off 10:21 AM ET · landed 10:58 AM ET (scheduled 9:59 AM ET → 11:08 AM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to AVL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at AVL that day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into AVL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

AVL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3059 · ATL → AVL

Odds over time

How late did it get to AVL?