Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3115 LANDED 2:59 PM ET, ~3 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

DL 3115 · ATL → SRQ

took off 1:54 PM ET · landed 2:59 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 1.7 in of rain forecast at SRQ that day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

SRQ (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip4.49 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3115 · ATL → SRQ

Odds over time