DL 3145 · DTW → BHM

took off 8:05 PM ET · expected to land 8:26 PM CT (scheduled 7:45 PM ET → 8:39 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BHM?

LIVE

On time or early
99%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Arrivals into BHM at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.03 in

BHM (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3145 · DTW → BHM

Odds over time

How late will it get to BHM?