Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3195 SCHEDULED

Wednesday, September 30 Today

DL 3195 · SDF → ATL

departs 4:47 PM ET · arrives 6:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from SDF are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SDF (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3195 · SDF → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?