DL 359 · HNL → SEA

took off 1:32 PM HT · expected to land 9:30 PM PT (scheduled 1:07 PM HT → 10:05 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SEA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from HNL are often late

↓ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

↓ HNL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.75 in

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 359 · HNL → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?