DL 429 · SEA → JFK

took off 7:52 AM PT · expected to land 3:09 PM ET (scheduled 7:15 AM PT → 3:49 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to JFK?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 429 · SEA → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?