Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 436 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Today

DL 436 · ATL → DFW

departs 5:45 PM ET · arrives 7:05 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±7 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ 5pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 436 · ATL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?