DL 440 · HNL → SEA

departs 10:47 PM HT · arrives 7:36 AM PT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ This flight has been late 7% of the time recently

↓ HNL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.30 in

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 440 · HNL → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?