Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 449 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow

DL 449 · LAX → BNA

departs 12:15 PM PT · arrives 6:24 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ 12pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 449 · LAX → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?