Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 461SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
DL 461 · SEA → JFK
departs 4:00 PM PT · arrives 12:21 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 7h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
23%chance · ±0 pts+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.