DL 540 · SAN → ATL

took off 2:32 PM PT · expected to land 9:20 PM ET (scheduled 2:18 PM PT → 10:00 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from SAN are often late

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

↓ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 540 · SAN → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?