DL 559 · AUS → DTW

departs 8:00 AM CT · arrives 11:58 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at AUS that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

DTW (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 559 · AUS → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?